Impact Evidence Across Interventions

A dynamic overview of six core approaches to conflict and atrocity prevention—mapped by effect, backed by evidence.

DDR (Disarmament, Demobilization, Reintegration)

Key impact: Justice (+0.351), Transitions (+0.138)

Peacekeeping builds institutional trust. Strong gains in justice and political transitions, but SGBV increases—a warning to mission design.

Aid & Conditionality

Key impact: Diplomacy (+0.347), Conflict risk (-0.018)

Aid improves compliance under pressure but can worsen conflict when misused. Conditionality matters. Context is everything.

Media & Communication

Key impact: Justice Access (+0.148), Trust (+0.108)

Radio dramas and info campaigns spark civic help, foster trust, and shift norms—if messages are sustained and localized.

Civil Society (CDD, Social Funds)

Key impact: Services (+0.280), Civic Engagement (+0.171)

Community-led development works: real effects on access, inclusion, and local governance. But gains on violence are negligible.

Election Support

Key impact: Security (+0.137), Governance (+0.121)

Elections create opportunity—but also risk. Moderate gains in order and trust, slight declines in civic enthusiasm.

Training & Jobs

Key impact: Cohesion (+0.260), Economic Security (+0.188)

High-impact programs boost employment, trust, and social links. But some trade-offs: less schooling, lower political interest.